What's the Right Long-Term Portfolio for You?
Part 1: your five options, tested since 1990. What each one earns, how far it can fall, and how often it lets you down.
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Part 1: your five options, tested since 1990. What each one earns, how far it can fall, and how often it lets you down.
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One strategy, taken apart: the rules, the evidence, and when it fails.
Part 1: your five options, tested since 1990. What each one earns, how far it can fall, and how often it lets you down.
What worked, what didn't, and exactly how Lean All-Weather, Dual Momentum Pivot5 and Adaptive Hedge are positioned now.
How to run Adaptive Hedge, the monthly strategy that rotates into the strongest defensive assets, with funds you can actually buy in Europe.
A rules-based hedging strategy that gained 39% through the Global Financial Crisis and 32% through the dot-com bust — a deep dive into what worked, what didn’t, and why.
The same monthly trend engine as Dual Momentum Pivot5, with one change: instead of equal slices it weights its holdings by risk and then scales the whole portfolio toward a 15% volatility target, borrowing up to 2× when the underlying mix is too calm to reach it on its own.
Global stocks, long Treasuries, gold, and broad commodities — a deliberately balanced split, rebalanced quarterly.
Global stocks, long Treasuries, gold, and broad commodities — rebalanced once a year.
Lean equity-heavy: 70% global stocks with bond, gold, and commodity ballast — rebalanced once a year.
A fixed, equal-weight balanced portfolio of six asset-class ETFs — with one overlay: each month it switches any sleeve whose own trend has turned down into cash, and switches it back on when the trend recovers. The point isn't to beat stocks — it's closer to insurance: you ride…
Nine asset-class ETFs, three rules. Each month it holds the five that are trending strongest — and *always* holds five, with no cash brake — so the portfolio is permanently invested in whatever is leading.
Tech cracked, bonds failed to protect — but both our core portfolio and tactical asset allocation strategies finished in the green.
A simple four-ETF (or futures) strategy that uses moderate leverage to target stock-like returns - while working in far more environments than stocks alone.
The full guide to InvestLab’s tactical momentum strategy. Each month it ranks nine asset-class ETFs by trend, holds the five strongest, and steps into cash when trends turn down. Why a tactical layer, how it’s built, 35 years of evidence, why it works, when it fails, and whether it’s right for you.
There's no universally "best" portfolio — only the one most likely to get you to your goals. Before picking a single investment, you need an Investment Policy Statement: five decisions that anchor everything that follows. Here's the one-page version I use myself.
Risk isn't volatility — it's the chance you don't meet your investment goals. Everything in InvestLab exists to shrink that probability. Here's the three-layer process I landed on after fifteen years working the same question.